S&P 500 notches best day in 5 months as tech rebounds and rate cuts come into view (2024)

NEW YORK—

Big technology stocks bounced back Wednesday and drove a rally for U.S. indexes, as Wall Street grew even more convinced that long-sought cuts to interest rates will be arriving soon.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 jumped 1.6% for its best day since February. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 99 points, or 0.2%, and the Nasdaq composite soared 2.6%.

The widespread gains came as Treasury yields eased in the bond market after the Federal Reserve gave the clearest indication yet that it could begin lowering interest rates in September. Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell said policymakers are “getting closer to the point” where they could cut rates for the first time since COVID-19 crashed the economy.

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“We think that the time is approaching,” Powell said. “And if we do get the data that we hope we get, then a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table at the September meeting.”

After the Fed voted to keep interest rates steady on Wednesday, as was widely expected, Powell spent much of an ensuing news conference discussing the risks of both moving too early or too late with rate cuts. One could allow inflation to reaccelerate, while the other could cause unnecessary pain for the economy and ultimately throw Americans out of their jobs.

After the Fed kept its main interest rate at a two-decade high for roughly a year, speculation may rise that it waited too long. That “has the potential to add to the stock market’s choppiness as we head toward what is historically its most volatile period,” said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley.

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For Wednesday, though, the dominant mood on Wall Street was jubilation.

Advanced Micro Devices rallied 4.4% after reporting better profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected, thanks in part to accelerating artificial intelligence business. That helped drive Nvidia, the chip company that has become the poster child for Wall Street’s frenzy around AI, up 12.9% a day after it lost 7%.

How tech giants’ stocks perform matters a lot because they’re Wall Street’s most valuable companies, and that gives them the biggest sway on the S&P 500. A handful of these stocks, known as the “Magnificent Seven,” drove the U.S. stock market to dozens of records this year, even as many other stocks struggled under the weight of high interest rates. But they ran out of momentum in July amid criticism they had grown too expensive and expectations had run too high.

Such criticism hasn’t gone away, and Microsoft fell 1.1% despite reporting profit and revenue for the latest quarter that edged past analysts’ expectations. Growth in its Azure cloud computing business fell a bit shy of analysts’ forecasts. That followed earlier profit reports from Tesla and Alphabet that investors found underwhelming, which raised concerns that other Magnificent Seven stocks could also fail to impress.

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Meta Platforms rose 2.5% as investors waited for its profit report, which arrived after trading closed for Wednesday. Amazon and Apple will follow on Thursday; each rose at least 1.5%.

Stronger-than-expected profit reports from companies outside the Magnificent Seven also helped lift the market.

Match Group jumped 13.2% after saying its user trends for Tinder are stabilizing. Match also reported results for the latest quarter that roughly matched analysts’ expectations.

DuPont rose 4.1% after delivering better profit and revenue than expected, thanks in part to a recovery for the electronics business, and the chemical giant raised its financial forecasts for the full year.

They helped offset a 3% drop for Altria Group after the maker of cigarettes and smoke-free products fell short of expectations for profit and revenue in its latest quarter.

All told, the S&P 500 rose 85.86 points to 5,522.30. The Dow advanced 99.46 points to 40,842.79, and the Nasdaq composite jumped 451.98 points to 17,599.40.

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In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.05% from 4.14% late Tuesday. It’s been falling from 4.70% in April as a slowdown in inflation raised expectations for coming cuts to interest rates.

Yields fell in the morning after a report showed U.S. employers spent less in total pay and benefits for workers during the spring than economists expected. Another report suggested that hiring by employers outside the government was a touch weaker than expected.

Although workers would surely like such numbers to be stronger, it could be the type of “Goldilocks” data that Wall Street is looking for: not so strong that it pushes upward on inflation but not so weak that it raises worries about a recession.

Some of Wednesday’s strongest action was in the oil market, where the price for a barrel of benchmark U.S. crude jumped about 4%. Hamas’ top political leader Ismail Haniyeh died in a predawn airstrike in the Iranian capital early Wednesday, Iran and the militant group said, blaming Israel for a shocking assassination that could escalate conflict in the region and disrupt the flow of oil. There was no immediate comment from Israel.

In stock markets abroad, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.5% after the Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate.

Indexes rallied 2.1% in Shanghai and 2% in Hong Kong after official data showed China’s July manufacturing activity contracted again, fueling expectations that Beijing will need to roll out more stimulus to counter a slowdown for the world’s second-largest economy.

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Stock indexes also rose across Europe.

Choe writes for the Associated Press.

More to Read

  • Wall Street climbs as Big Tech recovers following recent drop

    July 22, 2024

  • Most of Wall Street climbs on encouraging inflation report, but Big Tech slumps

    July 11, 2024

  • July 10, 2024

S&P 500 notches best day in 5 months as tech rebounds and rate cuts come into view (2024)

FAQs

Will tech stocks rise in 2024? ›

Market Sectors To Watch In 2024

The healthcare sector is expected to generate a market-leading 17.8% earnings growth in 2024, while the information technology sector is expected to lead the way with 9.3% revenue growth.

How often does the S&P move 3% in a day? ›

About 20% of the time, the stock market moves -2% and +2%. Meanwhile, about 10% of the time, the stock market moves -3% and +3%. If you're in capital preservation mode, you might consider selling some of your S&P 500 index position when the S&P 500 is up greater than 1%.

What is the inception date of the S&P 500? ›

On March 4, 1957, the Standard & Poor's 500 <. INX> <. SPX> was introduced. The S&P 500 index has became synonymous with the term "U.S. stock market." It is one of the leading benchmarks for the market, even though others, including the Russell and Wilshire indexes, are broader measures of the market.

What is the 5 year trailing return for the S&P 500? ›

S&P 500 5 Year Return is at 85.62%, compared to 91.77% last month and 63.71% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 45.58%. The S&P 500 5 Year Return is the investment return received for a 5 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.

What is the S&P 500 prediction for 2025? ›

What is the S&P 500 prediction for 2025? The 2025 forecast suggests that the S&P 500 index will increase from $5 660 to $8 898 by the end of the year, indicating a bullish trend, supported by favorable economic conditions and corporate earnings.

What stock is expected to skyrocket in 2024? ›

10 Best Growth Stocks to Buy for 2024
StockImplied Upside*
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL)22.6%
Meta Platforms Inc. (META)25.8%
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)4.5%
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)9.6%
6 more rows
Jul 22, 2024

What is the rule of 72 in S&P? ›

The formula for the Rule of 72 is ridiculously simple. You divide 72 by the annual rate of return you expect to earn on that investment. For example, if you expect an annual return of 8%, it would take approximately 9 years for your investment to double (72 divided by 8 equals 9).

What is the best day of the week for the S&P 500? ›

Tuesday alone has a better stock market performance than all five trading days combined! Tuesdays rose an annualized 3.98%, compared to 4.81% for the S&P 500. Monday and Friday, on the other hand, were weak on average.

What is the expected return of the S&P 500 in the next 10 years? ›

Optimistic: 6%-7% per year.

If you assume margins and P/E multiples will remain at their current high level, and expect sales and buybacks to grow at their historical rates, then you can anticipate making about 6% in returns per year over the next decade.

What is the S&P 500 return over the last 6 months? ›

S&P 500 6 Month Return is at 14.48%, compared to 15.54% last month and 15.91% last year.

What's the highest the S&P has ever been? ›

Price index
CategoryAll-time highs
Closing5,667.20Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Intraday5,669.67Tuesday, July 16, 2024

What is the average rate of return on the S&P 500 since inception? ›

The index has returned a historic annualized average return of around 10.26% since its 1957 inception through the end of 2023. While that average number may sound attractive, timing is everything: Get in at a high or out at a relative low, and you will not enjoy such returns.

Which is the best S&P 500 to invest in? ›

Best S&P 500 index funds
  • Fidelity 500 Index Fund (FXAIX).
  • Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares (VFIAX).
  • Schwab S&P 500 Index Fund (SWPPX).
  • State Street S&P 500 Index Fund Class N (SVSPX).

What is the average return of the sp500 in 50 years? ›

The average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 11.47% over the last 50 years, as of the end of May 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 50-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.39%.

What is the S&P 500 10 year return? ›

S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 178.6%, compared to 174.4% last month and 177.1% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 115.0%.

Is it a good time to invest in tech stocks? ›

As was the case in 2023, the information technology and communications services sectors, year-to-date through mid-July 2024, continue to outperform all other S&P 500 sectors. Investors' continued enthusiasm for companies well positioned to benefit from artificial intelligence (AI) advancements is driving sector gains.

What is the verb technology stock forecast for 2025? ›

$4.59 ↑5,300.00% Estimated share price by July 24, 2025.

What is the Dow Jones forecast for 2024? ›

Dow Jones price prediction 2024: The Dow Jones price predictions range from 34,000 (-8.5%) to 45,000 (+20%), with most analysts saying more strength in '24 is likely. Earnings continue to surprise to the upside, and balance sheets for corporate America are in great shape.

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